Week 11 Review

Welcome back. Tomorrow, I’ll try to break down each of the Week 11 games. I’ve spend much of my time revamping the website and working on the QB and RB rankings. The WR and TE rankings should follow tomorrow. I’ll quickly take some time to break down my own fantasy team’s performance this last week. Hopefully the review can help your team as well.

Following that atrocious performance against the Raiders, I am throwing Russell Wilson in the trash where he belongs. I will probably pick up Tannehill to fill in this week before Deshaun Watson starts the Week 13 game against HOU. The waiver wire in this 12 team league is pretty thin at QB. The other alternatives were Jacoby Brissett and Matt Stafford. No thank you.

Early Sunday morning, I was having my doubts about how much Ezekiel Elliot would play, so I subbed in Valdes-Scantling thinking that Elliot might be limited. Of course, I regret that decision after seeing Elliot get 2 touchdowns. I should have stayed with my first instinct.

Speaking of Valdes-Scantling, he will be dropped immediately. I thought he would have more of a target share with all the injuries, but I was wrong. I don’t think he had a reception until the 4th quarter. Other than Kelce, the receivers in KC are not consistent. I will grab Donovan Peoples-Jones off the waiver wire. He has looked really strong over the past few weeks, and, if Watson boosts that CLE offense, his stock should rise significantly.

I am tempted to drop D.J. Moore at this point as well. The Hail Mary catch in the ATL game was only a tease. All the QBs in CAR are garbage.

Here’s my updated standings as well:

So, I went 7-4 on the week and gained 1 game on the leader. My team is tied for 5th place now. Ja’Marr Chase should return to practice this week, so I am hoping he gets to play against TEN. Otherwise, I will have Christian Watson as his substitute.

Well, thanks for reading . I’ll be back tomorrow for more analysis and rankings. Feel free to follow me on Twitter as well!

Week 11 Overview

Today was a wild day of football. I would say it was a lower scoring day than I expected. There were a few surprises though. Let’s take a look at the numbers:

After the Monday night game, I’ll go further into detail, but I just want to address (3) of today’s games right now:

1) Las Vegas at Denver: Holy shit. Russell Wilson is droppable in 12 team leagues right now. Weekly waiver wire options are a better alternative. If he can’t rip up the weak Las Vegas defense, he’s not going to get any better. I’d say this whole team is a black hole except maybe for Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Those receivers are only viable because of draft capital and getting volume at the very least.

2) Dallas at Minnesota:  I think it’s safe to say the Vikings are the worst 8-2 team I’ve ever seen. Cousins did his best Jared Goff impression today. Give credit to Dallas though. Tony Pollard is a wrecking ball, and, with Zeke back to carry some of the load, Dallas probably has the best rushing offense in the NFL.

3) Detroit at New York Giants: WTF. First of all, these are 2 terrible teams. I have no idea how this New York team is 7-3. If you can’t run on the Lions, it’s not going to get any better. I don’t see another possible result next week other than the Cowboys stomping a huge mudhole in their ass.

For fantasy purposes, I sympathize with Saquon Barkley owners.  He’s still going to get volume though. Given that it’s the year of the inconsistent QB, Daniel Jones is probably still better than many alternatives. He’ll get some yards on the ground and the occasional rushing TD.

More to come.

The Current State of Affairs

Welcome. I created this website to analyze the state of fantasy football in a way that may overtly express my frustrations and cynicism. Along the way, I hope to help my fellow owners and learn from my mistakes. Because, let me tell you, I will make a few.

That being said. Let me say something that I feel needs to be said. Fantasy Football is much like Poker. Just because you lose a hand, does not mean you played the hand wrong. Could a 7-2 hand beat pocket Aces? Could Isiah Pacheco score more points that Jonathan Taylor this week? Could Darnell Mooney score more points than Justin Jefferson? Certainly. All of these scenarios are in the realm of possibility. But, if you were to make that bet time after time, you’re going to lose money.

I know that those scenarios are a bit exaggerated, but there is a moral to the story: make your bet on probability, not past results. As I continue this blog, I will further access what I mean by probability in the fantasy football context.

One thing that I find funny about many of the “Fantasy Football Experts” out there is a lack of transparency regarding their own fantasy franchises. I admit that there are some exceptions to the rule, but many of them don’t bother to show their audience how their teams are doing. Maybe it’s because they think their audience doesn’t care. I don’t know. But, I suspect that one reason could be that they do not want to suffer any loss of credibility. After all, what credentials make someone a fantasy football expert?

Anyway, here’s a baseline of my progress so far this season:

Like many others, my roster has taken a hit due to injuries. I could certainly use Ja’Marr Chase’s return. I cannot complain too much though. I got lucky with Kenneth Walker’s rise to relevance, and I got carried a few weeks by Tony Pollard.

Currently, I am in 6th place. In this league, everyone plays each other every week. So high score would go 11-0, and low score would go 0-11. Also there is no playoff system, and the fantasy season ends with the NFL regular season.

I know I was pretty straightforward in this post. In the weeks to come as I provide some analysis, I will get a little more cheeky with my posts.

Anyway, good luck tomorrow!